作者君在作品相关中其实已经解释过这个问题。
不过仍然有人质疑——“你说得太含糊了”,“火星轨道的变化比你想象要大得多!”
那好吧,既然作者君的简单解释不够有力,那咱们就看看严肃的东西,反正这本书写到现在,嚷嚷着本书bug一大堆,用初高中物理在书中挑刺的人也不少。
以下是文章内容:
long-termiionsandstabilityofparyorbitsinoursorsystem
abstract
wepresenttheresultsofverylong-termnumeritegrationsofparyorbitalmotionsover109-yrtime-spansincludingalls.aquispeofournumericaldatashowsthattheparymotion,atleastinoursimpledynamicalmodel,seemstobequitestableevehisverylongtime-span.acloserlookatthelowest-frequencyosciltionsusingalow-passfiltershowsusthepotentiallydiffusivecharacterofterrestrialparymotion,especiallythatofmercury.thebehaviouroftheetriercuryinouriionsisqualitativelysimirtotheresultsfromjacquesskar'ssecurperturbationtheory(e.g.emax~0.35yr).however,therearenoapparentsecreasesofetricityorinationinanyorbitalelementsoftheps,whichmayberevealedbystillloermnumeritegrations.wehavealsoperformedacoupleoftrialiionsincludingmotionsoftheouterfivepsoverthedurationof±5x1010yr.theresultindicatesthatthethreemajorresoheune–plutosystemhavebeenmaintainedoverthe1011-yrtime-span.
1introdu
1.1definitionoftheproblem
thequestionofthestabilityofoursorsystemhasbeeedoverseveralhundredyears,siheeraofon.theproblemhasattractedmanyfamousmathematisovertheyearsandhaspyedatralroleinthedevelopmentofnon-lineardynamidchaostheory.however,wedohaveadefiniteahequestionofwhetheroursorsystemisstableornot.thisispartlyaresultofthefactthatthedefinitionoftheterm‘stability’isvaguewhenitisusediiontotheproblemofparymotioninthesorsystem.actuallyitisogiveaclear,rigorousandphysicallymeaningfuldefinitionofthestabilityofoursorsystem.
amongmanydefinitionsofstability,heretthehilldefinition(gdman1993):actuallythisisnotadefinitionofstability,butofinstability.wedefineasystemasbeingunstablewhenacloseenteroccurssomewhereiem,startingfromacertaininitialfiguration(chambers,wetherill&ito&&tanikawa1999).asystemisdefinedasexperiengacloseenterwhentwobodiesapproaeahinahergerhillradius.otherwisethesystemisdefinedasbeingstable.henceforwardwestatethatourparysystemisdynamicallystableifnocloseenterhappensduringtheageofoursorsystem,about±5gyr.ially,thisdefinitionmayberepcedbyoneinwhioccurrenceofanyorbitalcrossiweeherofapairofpakespce.thisisbecauseweknowfromexperieanorbitalcrossingisverylikelytoleadtoacloseenteriaryandprotoparysystems(yoshinaga,kokubo&&makino1999).ofcoursethisstatementotbesimplyappliedtosystemswithstableorbitalresonancessuchastheune–plutosystem.
1.2previousstudiesandaimsofthisresearch
inadditiontothevaguenessoftheceptofstability,thepsinoursorsystemshowacharactertypicalofdynamicalchaos(sussman&&wisdom1988,1992).thecauseofthischaoticbehaviourisnowpartlyuoodasbeiofresonanceoverpping(murray&lecar,franklin&&holman2001).however,itwouldrequireiingoveranensembleofparysystemsincludingallsforaperiodcseveral10gyrthlyuandthelong-termevolutionofparyorbits,sincechaotiamicalsystemsarecharacterizedbytheirstrongdependeninitialditions.
fromthatpointofview,manyofthepreviouslong-termnumeritegrationsincludedonlytheouterfiveps(sussman&kinoshita&&nakai1996).thisisbecausetheorbitalperiodsoftheouterpsaresomugerthanthoseoftheinnerfourphatitismucheasiertofollowthesystemfiveionperiod.atpresent,thelonumeritegrationspublishedinjournalsarethoseofdun&&lissauer(1998).althoughtheirmaintargetwastheeffectofpost-main-sequenasslossoabilityofparyorbits,theyperformedmanyiionscupto~1011yroftheorbitalmotionsofthefourjoviaheinitialorbitalelementsandmassesofpsarethesameasthoseofoursorsystemindun&&lissauer'spaper,buttheydecreasethemassofthesungraduallyintheirnumericalexperiments.thisisbecausetheysidertheeffectofpost-main-sequenasslossinthepaper.sequently,theyfoundthatthecrossingtime-scaleofparyorbits,whibeatypidicatoroftheinstabilitytime-scale,isquitesensitivetotherateofmassdecreaseofthesuhemassofthesunisclosetoitspresentvalue,thejoviasremainstableover1010yr,orperhapslonger.dun&&lissaueralsoperformedfoursimirexperimentsontheorbitalmotionofseves(venustoune),whichcoveraspanof~109yr.theirexperimentsonthesevesarepreheitseemsthattheterrestrialpsalsoremainstableduriegrationperiod,maintainingalmurosciltions.
oherhand,inhisaccuratesemi-analyticalsecurperturbationtheory(skar1988),skarfindsthatrgeandirregurvariationsappearintheetricitiesandinationsoftheterrestrialps,especiallyofmercuryandmarsonatime-scaleofseveral109yr(skar1996).theresultsofskar'ssecurperturbationtheoryshouldbefirmedandiigatedbyfullynumeritegrations.
inthispaperwepresentpreliminaryresultsofsixlong-termnumeritegrationsonallaryorbits,caspanofseveral109yr,andoftwootheriionscaspanof±5x1010yr.thetotalepsedtimeforalliionsismorethan5yr,usingseveraldedicatedpdworkstations.ohefualclusions-termiionsisthatsorsystemparymotioobestableintermsofthehillstabilitymentionedabove,atleastoveratime-spanof±4gyr.actually,inournumeritegratioemwasfarmorestablethanwhatisdefihehillstabilitycriterion:notonlydidnocloseenterhappenduriegrationperiod,butalsoalltheparyorbitalelementshavebeenfinedinanarrionbothintimeandfrequenain,thoughparymotioochasticethepurposeofthispaperistoexhibitandoverviewtheresults-termnumeritegrations,weshowtypicalexamplefiguresasevideheveryloabilityofsorsystemparymotion.forreaderswhohavemorespecifiddeeperisinournumericalresults,reparedawebpage(access),whereweshowraworbitalelements,theirlow-passfilteredresults,variationofdeunayelementsandangurmomentumdeficit,asofoursimpletime–frequenalysisonallofouriions.
iion2webrieflyexpinourdynamicalmodel,numericalmethodandinitialditionsusedinouriioion3isdevotedtoadescriptionofthequickresultsofthenumeritegrations.veryloabilityofsorsystemparymotionisapparentbothiarypositionsandorbitalelements.aroughestimationofnumericalerrorsisalsogiveiooadiscussionoftheloermvariationofparyorbitsusingalow-passfilterandincludesadiscussionofangurmomentumdeficit.iion5,wepreseofnumeritegrationsfortheouterfivephatspans±5x1010yr.iion6wealsodiscusstheloabilityoftheparymotionanditspossiblecause.
2descriptionofthenumeritegrations
(本部分涉及比较复杂的积分计算,作者君就不贴上来了,贴上来了起点也不一定能成功显示。)
2.3numericalmethod
weutilizeased-orderwisdom–holmansymplecticmapasourmaiiohod(wisdom&kinoshita,yoshida&&nakai1991)ecialstart-upproceduretoreducethetruncationerrorofanglevariables,‘warmstart’(saha&&tremaine1992,1994).
thestepsizeforthenumeritegrationsis8dthroughoutalliionsofthes(n±1,2,3),whichisabout111oftheorbitalperiodoftheinnermostp(mercury).asforthedeterminationofstepsize,wepartlyfollowthepreviousnumeritegrationofallsinsussman&&wisdom(1988,7.2d)andsaha&&tremaine(1994,22532d).werouhedecimalpartofthetheirstepsizesto8tomakethestepsizeamultipleof2ioreducetheaccumutionofround-offerrorintheputationprocesses.iiontothis,wisdom&&holman(1991)performednumeritegrationsoftheouterfiveparyorbitsusingthesymplecticmapsizeof400d,110.83oftheorbitalperiodofjupiter.theirresultseemstobeaccurateenough,whichpartlyjustifiesourmethodofdeterminiepsize.however,siheetricityofjupiter(~0.05)ismuchsmallerthanthatofmercury(~0.2),weneedsomecarewhenweparetheseiionssimplyintermsofstepsizes.
iegrationoftheouterfiveps(f±),wefixedthestepsizeat400d.
tgauss'fandgfunsinthesymplecticmaptogetherwiththethird-orderhalleymethod(danby1992)asasolverforkeplerequations.thenumberofmaximumiteratioinhalley'smethodis15,buttheyneverreachedthemaximuminanyofouriions.
theintervalofthedataoutputis200000d(~547yr)forthecalcutionsofalls(n±1,2,3),andabout8000000d(~21903yr)fortheiionoftheouterfiveps(f±).
althoughnooutputfilteringwasdohenumeritegrationswereinprocess,liedalow-passfiltertotheraworbitaldataafterwehadpletedallthecalcutions.seese4.1formoredetail.
2.4errorestimation
2.4.1retiveerrorsintotalenergyandangurmomentum
acctoohebasicpropertiesofsymplectitegrators,whiservethephysicallyservativequantitieswell(totalorbitalenergyandangurmomentum),-termnumeritegratioohavebeenperformedwithverysmallerrors.theaveragedretiveerrorsoftotalenergy(~10?9)andoftotangurmomentum(~10?11)haveremainednearlystantthroughouttheiionperiod(fig.1).thespecialstartupprocedure,warmstart,wouldhavereducedtheaveragedretiveerrorintotalenergybyaboutoneorderofmagnitudeormore.
retivenumericalerrorofthetotangurmomentumδaa0aalenergyδee0inournumeritegrationsn±1,2,3,whereδeandδaaretheabsolutegeofthetotalenergyandtotangurmomentum,respectively,ande0anda0aretheirinitialvalues.thehorizontalunitisgyr.
differeingsystems,differentmathematicallibraries,anddifferenthardwarearchitecturesresultindifferentnumericalerrors,throughthevariationsinround-offerrorhandlingandnumericalgorithms.intheupperpaneloffig.1,wereizethissituationintheseumericalerroriangurmomentum,whichshouldberigorouslypreserveduptomae-eprecision.
2.4.2erroriarylongitudes
sihesymplecticmapspreservetotalenergyandtotangurmomentumofn-bodydynamicalsystemsilywell,thedegreeoftheirpreservationmaynotbeagoodmeasureoftheaccuraeritegrations,especiallyasameasureofthepositionalerrorofps,i.e.theerroriarylongitudes.toestimatethenumericalerroriarylongitudes,weperformedthefollowingprocedures.weparedtheresultofourmainlong-termiionswithsometestiions,whichspanmuchshorterperiodsbutwithmuchhigheraccuracythanthemaiions.forthispurpose,weperformedamuchmoreaccurateiionsizeof0.125d(164ofthemaiions)spanning3x105yr,startingwiththesameinitialditionsasinthen?1iion.wesiderthatthistestiionprovidesusseudo-true’solutionofparyorbitalevolutio,weparethetestiionwiththemaiion,n?1.fortheperiodof3x105yr,weseeadifferenmeananomaliesoftheearthbetweewoiionsof~0.52°(inthecaseofthen?1iion).thisdifferenbeextrapotedtothevalue~8700°,about25rotatiohafter5gyr,siheerroroflongitudesincreaseslinearlywithtimeinthesymplecticmap.simirly,thelongitudeerrorofplutobeestimatedas~12°.thisvalueforplutoismuchbetterthantheresultinkinoshita&&nakai(1996)wherethedifferenceisestimatedas~60°.
3numericalresults–i.gherawdata
inthissewebrieflyreviewtheloabilityofparyorbitalmotihsomesnapshotsofrawnumericaldata.theorbitalmotionofpsindicatesloabilityinallofournumeritegrations:noorbitalcrossingsnorcloseentersbetairofpookpce.
3.1generaldescriptionofthestabilityofparyorbits
first,webrieflylookatthegeneralcharacteroftheloabilityofparyorbits.ouriherefocusesparticurlyontheinnerfourterrestrialpsforwhichtheorbitaltime-scalesaremuchshorterthanthoseoftheouterfiveps.asweseeclearlyfromthepnarorbitalfigurationsshowninfigs2and3,orbitalpositionsoftheterrestrialpsdifferlittlebetweeiandfinalpartofeaumeritegration,whichspansseveralgyr.thesolidliingthepresentorbitsofthepsliealmostwithintheswarmofdotseveninthefinalpartofiions(b)and(d).thisindicatesthatthroughouttheeegrationperiodthealmurvariationsofparyorbitalmotionremainnearlythesameastheyareatpresent.
verticalviewofthefourinnerparyorbits(fromthez-axisdire)attheinitiandfinalpartsoftheiionsn±1.theaxesunitsareau.thexy-pneissettotheinvariantpneofsorsystemtotangurmomentum.(a)theinitialpartofn+1(t=0to0.0547x109yr).(b)thefinalpartofn+1(t=4.9339x108to4.9886x109yr).(c)theinitialpartofn?1(t=0to?0.0547x109yr).(d)thefinalpartofn?1(t=?3.9180x109to?3.9727x109yr).ineael,atotalof23684pointsareplottedwithanintervalofabout2190yrover5.47x107yr.solidlinesineaeldehepresentorbitsofthefourterrestrialpakenfromde245).
thevariationofetricitiesandorbitalinationsfortheinnerfourpsiiandfinalpartoftheiionn+1isshowninfig.4.asexpected,thecharacterofthevariationofparyorbitalelementsdoesnotdiffersignifitlybetweeiandfinalpartofeategration,atleastforvehandmars.theelementsofmercury,especiallyitsetricity,seemtogetoasignifitextent.thisispartlybecausetheorbitaltime-scaleofthepheshortestofalltheps,whichleadstoamorerapidorbitalevolutionthanotherpheinnermostpmaybeoinstability.thisresultappearstobeinsomeagreementwithskar's(1994,1996)expectationsthatrgeandirregurvariationsappearintheetricitiesandinationsofmercuryonatime-scaleofseveral109yr.however,theeffectofthepossibleinstabilityoftheorbitofmercurymaynotfatallyaffecttheglobalstabilityofthewholeparysystemowingtothesmallmassofmercury.wewillmentiohelong-termorbitalevolutionofmercuryteriion4usinglow-passfilteredorbitalelements.
theorbitalmotionoftheouterfivepsseemsrigorouslystableandquitereguroverthistime-span(seealsose5).
3.2time–frequencymaps
althoughtheparymotionexhibitsveryloabilitydefiheenceofcloseenterevents,thechaotiatureofparydynamigetheosciltoryperiodandamplitudeofparyorbitalmotiongraduallyoversugtime-spans.evensuchslightfluctuationsoforbitalvariationinthefrequenain,particurlyinthecaseofearth,potentiallyhaveasignifiteffeitssurfaceclimatesystemthroughsorinsotionvariation(cf.berger1988).
togiveanoverviewofthelong-termgeinperiodicityiaryorbitalmotion,weperformedmanyfastfouriertransformations(ffts)aloimeaxis,andsuperposedtheresultingperiodgramstodrawtwo-dimensionaltime–frequencymaps.thespecificapproachtodrawiime–frequencymapsinthispaperisverysimple–muchsimplerthanthewaveletanalysisorskar's(1990,1993)frequenalysis.
dividethelow-passfilteredorbitaldataintomanyfragmentsofthesamelenh.thelenhofeachdatasegmentshouldbeamultipleof2ioapplythefft.
eachfragmentofthedatahasargeoverppingpart:forexample,whehdatabeginsfromt=tiandendsatt=ti+t,thedatasegmentrangesfromti+δt≤ti+δt+t,whereδt?t.wetihisdivisionuntilwereachacertainnumbernbywhi+treachesthetotaliionlenh.
lyanffttoeachofthedatafragments,andobtainnfrequencydiagrams.
ineachfrequencydiagramobtainedabove,thestrenhofperiodicityberepcedbyagrey-scale(orcolour)chart.
weperformtherept,andectallthegrey-scale(orcolour)chartsintoonegraphforeategration.thehorizontaxisofthesenehsshouldbethetime,i.e.thestartingtimesofeachfragmentofdata(ti,wherei=1,…,n).theverticaxisrepresentstheperiod(orfrequency)oftheosciltionoforbitalelements.
wehaveadoptedanfftbecauseofitsoverwhelmingspeed,siheamountofnumericaldatatobedeposedintofrequenposisterriblyhuge(severaltensofgbytes).
atypicalexampleofthetime–frequencymapcreatedbytheaboveproceduresisshowninagrey-scalediagramasfig.5,whichshowsthevariationofperiodicityintheetricityandinatiohinn+2iion.infig.5,thedarkareashowsthatatthetimeindicatedbythevalueontheabscissa,theperiodicityindicatedbytheordirohaninthelighterareaaroundit.wereizefromthismapthattheperiodicityoftheetricityandinatiohonlygesslightlyovertheentireperiodcoveredbythen+2iion.thisnearlyregurtrendisqualitativelythesameiegrationsandforotherps,althoughtypicalfrequenciesdifferpbypabyelement.
4.2long-termexgeoforbitalenergyandangurmomentum
wecalcuteverylong-periodicvariationandexgeofparyorbitalenergyandangurmomentumusingfiltereddeunayelementsl,g,h.gandhareequivalenttotheparyorbitangurmomentumanditsvertipoperunitmass.lisretedtotheparyorbitalenergyeperunitmassase=?μ22l2.ifthesystemispletelyliheorbitalenergyandtheangurmomentumineachfrequenmustbestant.non-liyiarysystemcauseanexgeofenergyandangurmomentuminthefrequenain.theamplitudeofthelowest-frequencyosciltionshouldincreaseifthesystemisunstableandbreaksdowngradually.however,suchasymptomofinstabilityisnotpromiin-termiions.
infig.7,thetotalorbitalenergyandangurmomentumofthefourinnerpsandallsareshownforiionn+2.theupperthreepanelsshowthelong-periodicvariationoftotalenergy(denotedase-e0),totangurmomentum(g-g0),aipo(h-h0)oftheinnerfourpscalcutedfromthelow-passfiltereddeunayelements.e0,g0,h0deheinitialvaluesofeachquantity.theabsolutedifferentheinitialvaluesisplottedinthepahelowerthreepanelsineachfigureshowe-e0,g-g0andh-h0ofthetotalofs.thefluctuationshowninthelowerpanelsisvirtuallyentirelyaresultofthemassivejovias.
paringthevariationsofenergyandangurmomentumoftheinnerfourpsandalls,itisapparentthattheamplitudesofthoseoftheinnerpsaremuchsmallerthanthoseofalls:theamplitudesoftheouterfivepsaremuchrgerthanthoseoftheinnerphisdoeshattheierrestrialparysubsystemismorestablethaerohisissimplyaresultoftheretivesmallnessofthemassesofthefourterrestrialpsparedwiththoseoftheouterjovias.ahiiceisthattheinnerparysubsystemmaybeeunstablemorerapidlythaeronebecauseofitsshorterorbitaltime-scales.thisbeseeninthepanelsdenotedasinner4infig.7wherethelonger-periodidirregurosciltionsaremoreapparentthaninthepanelsdeotal9.actually,thefluctuationsintheinner4panelsareteextentasaresultoftheorbitalvariationofthemercury.however,weothetributionfromotherterrestrialps,aswewillseeinsubsequeions.
4.4long-termcouplingofseveralneighbppairs
letusseesomeindividualvariationsofparyorbitalenergyandangurmomentumexpressedbythelow-passfiltereddeunayelements.figs10and11showlong-termevolutionoftheorbitalenergyofeaetandtheangurmomentuminn+1andn?2iioicethatsomepsformapparentpairsintermsoforbitalenergyandangurmomentumexge.inparticur,venusahmakeatypicalpair.inthefigures,theyshowivecorretionsinexgeofenergyandpositivecorretionsinexgeofangurmomentuhepositivecorretioninexgeofangurmomentummeansthatthetwopsaresimultaneouslyundercertainlong-termperturbations.didatesforperturbersarejupiterandsaturn.alsoinfig.11,weseethatmarsshows'itivecorretionintheangurmomentumvariationtothevehsystem.mercuryexhibitscertaiivecorretionsintheangurmomentumversusthevehsystem,whichseemstobeareacausedbytheservationofangurmomentumierrestrialparysubsystem.
itisnotclearatthemomentwhythevehpairexhibitsaivecorretioninenergyexgeand'itivecorretioninangurmomentumexge.ossiblyexpinthisthroughthegeneralfactthatthereareermsiarysemimajoraxesuptosed-orderperturbationtheories(cf.brou;boccaletti&&pucacco1998).thismeansthattheparyorbitalenergy(whichisdirectlyretedtothesemimajoraxisa)mightbemuchlessaffectedbyperturbihanistheangurmomentumexge(whichretestoe).heheetricitiesofvenusahbedisturbedeasilybyjupiterandsaturn,whichresultsin'itivecorretionintheangurmomentumexge.oherhand,thesemimajoraxesofvenusaharelesslikelytobedisturbedbythejoviahustheenergyexgemaybelimitedonlywithinthevehpair,whichresultsiivecorretionintheexgeoforbitalenergyinthepair.
asfortheouterjoviaarysubsystem,jupiter–saturnanduranus–uomakedynamicalpairs.however,thestrenhoftheircouplingisnotasstrongparedwiththatofthevehpair.
5±5x1010-yriionsofouterparyorbits
sihejoviaarymassesaremuchrgerthaerrestrialparymasses,wetreatthejoviaarysystemasanindepeparysystemintermsofthestudyofitsdynamicalstability.hence,weaddedacoupleoftrialiionsthatspan±5x1010yr,includingonlytheouterfivephefourjoviaspluspluto).theresultsexhibittherigorousstabilityoftheouterparysystemoverthislongtime-span.orbitalfigurations(fig.12),andvariationofetricitiesandinations(fig.13)showthisveryloabilityoftheouterfivepsinboththetimeandthefrequenains.althoughwedonotshoshere,thetypicalfrequencyoftheorbitalosciltionofplutoaherouterpsisalmoststantduringtheseverylong-termiionperiods,whichisdemonstratediime–frequencymapsonourwebpage.
iwoiions,theretivenumericalerrorialenergywas~10?6andthatofthetotangurmomentumwas~10?10.
5.1resoheune–plutosystem
kinoshita&&nakai(1996)iedtheouterfiveparyorbitsover±5.5x109yr.theyfoundthatfourmajorresoweeuneandplutoaremaintainedduringthewholeiionperiod,andthattheresonancesmaybethemaincausesofthestabilityoftheorbitofpluto.themajorfourresonancesfoundinpreviousresearchareasfollows.inthefollowingdescriptioesthemeanlongitude,Ωisthelongitudeoftheasdingnodeand?isthelongitudeofperihelion.subscriptspaeplutoaune.
meanmotionresoweeuneandpluto(3:2).thecriticargumentθ1=3λp?2λn??plibratesaround180°litudeofabout80°andalibrationperiodofabout2x104yr.
theargumentofperihelionofplutowp=θ2=?p?Ωplibratesaround90°eriodofabout3.8x106yr.thedominantperiodicvariationsoftheetricityandinationofplutoaresynizedwiththelibrationofitsargumentofperihelion.thisisanticipatedinthesecurperturbationtheorystructedbykozai(1962).
thelongitudeofthenodeofplutoreferredtothelongitudeofthenodeofune,θ3=Ωp?Ωn,circutesandtheperiodofthiscircutionisequaltotheperiodofθ2libration.whenθ3beeszero,i.e.thelongitudesofasdingnodesofuneandplutooverp,theinationofplutobeaximum,theetricitybeinimumandtheargumentofperihelionbees90°.whenθ3bees180°,theinationofplutobeinimum,theetricitybeaximumandtheargumentofperihelionbees90°again.williams&&benson(1971)anticipatedthistypeofresoerfirmedbymini,nobili&&carpino(1989).
anargumentθ4=?p??n+3(Ωp?Ωn)libratesaround180°withalongperiod,~5.7x108yr.
inournumeritegrations,theresonances(i)–(iii)arewellmaintained,andvariationofthecriticargumentsθ1,θ2,θ3remainsimirduringthewholeiionperiod(figs14–16).however,thefourthresonance(iv)appearstobedifferent:thecriticargumentθ4alternateslibrationandcircutionovera1010-yrtime-scale(fig.17).thisisaingfactthatkinoshita&&nakai's(1995,1996)shorteriionswerenotabletodisclose.
6discussion
whatkindofdynamicalmeismmaintainsthisloabilityoftheparysystem?weimmediatelythinkoftwomajorfeaturesthatmayberesponsiblefortheloability.first,thereseemtobenosignifitlower-orderresonances(meanmotionandsecur)betairamongthes.jupiterandsaturnareclosetoa5:2meanmotionresohefamous‘greatinequality’),butnotjustintheresonane.higher-orderresonancesmaycausethechaotiatureoftheparydynamicalmotion,buttheyarenotsastodestroythestableparymotionwithinthelifetimeoftherealsorsystem.thesedfeature,whichwethinkismoreimportantfortheloabilityofourparysystem,isthedifferendynamicaldistaweenterrestriandjoviaarysubsystems(ito&&tanikawa1999,2001).whenwemeasureparyseparationsbythemutualhillradii(r_),separationsamongterrestrialpsaregreaterthan26rh,whereasthoseamongjoviasarelessthan14rh.thisdifferenceisdirectlyretedtothediffereweendynamicalfeaturesofterrestriandjoviaerrestrialpshavesmallermasses,shorterorbitalperiodsandwiderdynamicalseparation.theyarestronglyperturbedbyjoviahathavergermasses,longerorbitalperiodsandnarrowerdynamicalseparation.joviasareurbedbyanyothermassivebodies.
thepresentterrestrialparysystemisstillbeingdisturbedbythemassivejovias.however,thewideseparationandmutualiionamoerrestrialpsrehedisturbaneffective;thedegreeofdisturbancebyjoviasiso(ej)(orderofmagnitudeoftheetricityofjupiter),sihedisturbancecausedbyjoviasisaforcedosciltionhavinganamplitudeofo(ej).heighteningofetricity,forexampleo(ej)~0.05,isfarfromsuffittoprovokeinstabilityierrestrialpshavingsuchawideseparationas26rh.thusweassumethatthepresentwidedynamicalseparationamongterrestrialps(&;26rh)isprobablyohemostsignifitditionsformaintainiabilityoftheparysystemovera109-yrtime-span.ourdetailedanalysisoftheretionshipbetweendynamicaldistaweesaabilitytime-scaleofsorsystemparymotionisnowon-going.
althoughournumeritegrationsspanthelifetimeofthesorsystem,thenumberofiionsisfarfromsuffittofilltheinitialphasespace.itisnecessarytoperformmoreandmorenumeritegrationstofirmandexamineiailtheloabilityofourparydynamics.
——以上文段引自ito,t.&tanikawa,k.long-termiionsandstabilityofparyorbitsinoursorsyste.r.astron.soc.336,483–500(2002)
这只是作者君参考的一篇文章,关于太阳系的稳定性。
还有其他论文,不过也都是英文的,相关课题的中文文献很少,那些论文下载一篇要九美元(《nature》真是暴利),作者君写这篇文章的时候已经回家,不在检测中心,所以没有数据库的使用权,下不起,就不贴上来了。